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Thermohaline circulation stability: a box model study - Part II: coupled atmosphere-ocean model

机译:热盐环流稳定性:箱形模型研究-第二部分:大气-海洋耦合模型

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摘要

A thorough analysis of the stability of a coupled version of an inter-hemispheric 3-box model of Thermohaline Circulation (THC) is presented. This study follows a similarly structured analysis on an uncoupled version of the same model presented in Part I. We study how the strength of THC changes when the system undergoes forcings representing global warming conditions. Each perturbation to the initial equilibrium is characterized by the total radiative forcing realized, by the rate of increase, and by the North-South asymmetry. The choice of suitably defined metrics allows us to determine the boundary dividing the set of radiative forcing scenarios that lead the system to equilibria characterized by a THC pattern similar to the present one, from those that drive the system to equilibria where the THC is reversed. We also consider different choices for the atmospheric transport parameterizations and for the ratio between the high latitude to tropical radiative forcing. We generally find that fast forcings are more effective than slow forcings in disrupting the present THC pattern, forcings that are stronger in the northern box are also more effective in destabilizing the system, and that very slow forcings do not destabilize the system whatever their asymmetry, unless the radiative forcings are very asymmetric and the atmospheric transport is a relatively weak function of the meridional temperature gradient. The changes in the strength of the THC are primarily forced by changes in the latent heat transport in the hemisphere, because of its sensitivity to temperature that arises from the Clausius-Clapeyron relation.
机译:提出了对半盐环三箱模式的盐卤环流(THC)耦合版本的稳定性的全面分析。这项研究对第一部分中介绍的同一模型的非耦合版本进行了类似的结构分析。我们研究了当系统经历代表全球变暖条件的强迫时,THC的强度如何变化。对初始平衡的每次扰动均以实现的总辐射强迫,增长率和南北不对称为特征。选择适当定义的度量标准使我们能够确定将导致系统达到以类似于当前模式的THC模式为特征的辐射强迫情形的集合的边界,从驱动系统达到THC反转的平衡的那些边界。我们还考虑了大气传输参数化以及高纬度与热带辐射强迫之间的比率的不同选择。我们通常发现,快速强制比慢速强制更能破坏当前的THC模式,北部地区更强的强制也能使系统更稳定,并且非常慢的强制力无论其不对称性如何都不会破坏系统的稳定性,除非辐射强迫非常不对称并且大气传输是子午温度梯度的相对弱函数。 THC强度的变化主要是由于半球中潜热传递的变化而引起的,因为它对由克劳修斯-克拉佩隆关系引起的温度敏感。

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    Lucarini, V; Stone, P H;

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  • 年度 2004
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  • 原文格式 PDF
  • 正文语种 eng
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